About

Current Version: 5.0
Previous Published Version: 4.1

Published: 26 August 2013

Official Site: LawSchoolPredictor.com, http://www.lawschoolpredictor.com

Decision Key
ADMIT: You’re an auto-admit and will likely be admitted, unless the school is practicing yield protection, or you clearly didn’t take the application seriously. This corresponds roughly to a greater than 75% chance of being admitted.
STRONG CONSIDER:  You have a good to great chance of being admitted. This corresponds roughly to a 63% to 75% chance of being admitted.
CONSIDER: You have a decent chance of being admitted; you may be waitlisted, or possibly rejected. This corresponds roughly to a 38% to 62% chance of being admitted.
WEAK CONSIDER: You have a poor to moderate chance of being admitted; there is the distinct possibility you will be waitlisted or rejected. This corresponds roughly to a 25% to 37% chance of being admitted.
DENY: You’re an auto-reject and will likely be rejected without other compelling non-LSAT/GPA characteristics. This corresponds roughly to a less than 25% chance of being admitted.

Updates from Version 4.1 to 5.0
- Updated admissions index formulas
– Updated LSAT data
– Updated GPA data
– Updated U.S. News & World Report rankings
– Updated at/below % chances formulas
– Initial loading time for users reduced and enhancements for mobile users
– Major formatting updates

Updates from Version 3.4 to 4.1
- Updated U.S. News & World Report rankings
– Updated LSAT data
– Updated GPA data
– Updated admissions index formulas
– Updated at/below % chances formulas
– Added additional hyperlinks to law school profiles on Top-Law-Schools.com
– Major formatting updates

Updates from Version 3.0 to 3.4
- Updated U.S. News & World Report rankings, LSAT data, and GPA data. [Special thanks to our volunteer for helping with the data update!]
– Added descriptor if the law school is not a member of the American Association of Law School (AALS)
– Intellectual Property Rights in Law School Predictor transferred to Real World Machine LLC
– Added additional hyperlinks to law school profiles on Top-Law-Schools.com
– Minor formatting updates

Updates from Version 2.5 to 3.0
– Revamped splitter prediction algorithm
– Implemented color-coded predictions
– Added Brooklyn part-time program
– Added Minnesota binding early decision prediction
– Added part-time binding early decision prediction feature
– Adjusted sub-25%/sub-3.0 GPA penalty
– Reintroduced “Adj.” field
– Fixed % At/Below calculation bug
– Added Print button
– Minor formatting updates

Updates from Version 2.3 to 2.4
– Introduced new “% AT/BELOW” feature
– Minor tweaks and adjustments
– Major formatting updates intended to decrease load and update times

Updates from Version 2.2 to 2.3
– Introduced new “binding early decision” prediction feature
– Fixed and tweaked prediction algorithm for splitters to avoid unreasonable results and to increase prediction accuracy
– Introduced new algorithm to penalize predictions for an applicant whose GPA falls below 3.00 and a school’s 25% GPA mark
– Implemented ADJUST column to indicate if a prediction is being affected by non-URM factors.
– Corrected LSAT and GPA information for George Washington
– Corrected school profile hyperlink for Richmond
– Minor formatting updates

Updates from Version 2.1 to 2.2
– Implmented over 70 new admission index formulas based on the recent publication of the formulas by the LSAC
– Fixed and tweaked prediction algorithm for splitters to avoid unreasonable results and to increase prediction accuracy
– Minor formatting updates

Updates from Version 2.0 to 2.1
– Integrated URM predictions into the main prediction models via implementation of a boolean control checkbox
– Implemented calculations for an improved chance of admission to traditional splitters (high LSAT relative to low GPA)
– Moved LSAT/GPA ratio column just to the left of schools’ LSAT and GPA information
– Fixed display error where multiple law schools were not displayed on certain browsers for the part-time prediction model
– Initialized “Score” field to zero which updates once user enters data and clicks the “Calculate” button

Updates from Version 1.5 to 2.0
More consistent usage of terminology
Correction of typographical and other data-entry errors
Decision field will not initially display until the user enters data and clicks the “Calculate” button.

Updates from Version 1.0 to 1.5
Added sheets for part-time program predictions
Added more ABA schools not previously listed
Updated 25%/75% data to latest information (Class of 2011)
Improved formulas for schools that do not publish formulas
Improved formulas for URM applicants
Change Colorado’s, Seattle’s, and Vermont’s formula to use LSDAS GPA instead of LSDAS major GPA.
No longer asks for LSDAS major GPA
Added Wikipedia city information for schools
Added LSDAS GPA Calculator
Added FAQ
Added LSAT/GPA RATIO field to prediction model
Corrected minor typographical errors
Some streamlining for more user-friendliness
Converted from XLS file format to HTML with Javascript file format

Instructions
1. There are three different sections to this prediction model: Top 100 Full-Time Programs, Unranked Full-Time Programs, and Part-Time Programs, in addition to a LSDAS GPA Calculator, “Frequently Asked Questions” section, and this “About” section.

Enter your numbers at the top of the page and check the URM box and/or select a “binding early decision” school if appropriate, make sure to click the calculate button, and then scroll down to see you admission prediction at a specific law school. The URM models are intended to predict admission chances for URM (underrepresented minority) applicants, although its accuracy is likely worst than that for non-URM applicants.   The URM models work by adding a “boost” to your index score before returning the “DECISION” field.   The schools are sorted by USNWR rank and then alphabetically.  The GPA CALC SHEET helps you calculate your LSDAS GPA.

Law School Predictor runs best in Internet Explorer, Firefox, Chrome.

2. I am human, and that means I might have made a mistake keying in the data.

3. The admissions index score formula works by taking two separate LSAT and GPA multiplication factors, multiplying that by your LSAT and GPA, and adding a constant.  The LSAT/GPA RATIO field calculates the ratio of LSAT to GPA in a school’s formula.  For instance, a LSAT/GPA RATIO value of 3.5 means that the school weights the applicant’s LSAT 3.5 times the weight of their GPA in their formula. The “% AT/BELOW gives a rough approximation of your chances of being admitted based on the estimated percentage of matriculated students at/below your index score, although the textual prediction is likely more accurate, even if less precise.

4. Roughly speaking: the (presumptive) Admit and (presumptive) Deny numbers correspond to the 75th and 25th percentiles while the three consider categories fall in-between.

5. The spreadsheet returns:
– ADMIT: You’re above the Admit number.
– STRONG CONSIDER: You’re above the Middle number plus one-fourth the difference between the Admit number and Deny number but below or at the Admit number.
– CONSIDER: You’re within plus/minus one-fourth of the difference between the Admit number and Deny number of the Middle number.
– WEAK CONSIDER: You’re below the Middle number minus one-fourth the difference between the Admit number and Deny number but above or at the Deny number.
– DENY: You’re below the Deny number.

6. The “FROM MID.” field shows you how far away you are from the median value of the “ADMIT” and “DENY” values (added together and divided by 2). This point difference is different across different schools. For instance a school where 290 is a perfect admissions score, a one-point difference means a lot less than a school where 205 is a perfect admissions score.

7. For the LSDAS GPA Calculator, enter the number of credit hours (semester or quarter) earned for each grade.  The sheet will calculate your quality points and LSDAS GPA from this information; it will automatically convert quarter hours to semester hours (0.67 semester hours = 1 quarter hour).

8. Remember to change the default user values to your actual numbers.

Again, I guarantee… nothing.

This obviously does not ensure an admission or denial, especially at the top law schools. Nor does it take into account your PS, non-URM diversity, nine Olympic gold medals, or the fact that the new wing of the law school is named after a wealthy member of your family.

Contact

While responses and response times to emails are not guaranteed and email volume has increased, you will likely receive a response in 14 business days. To contact us please send an email to the email address below.

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Terms of Use

TERMS OF USE THESE TERMS OF USE CONTAIN A BINDING ARBITRATION PROVISION WHICH AFFECTS YOUR LEGAL RIGHTS AND MAY BE ENFORCED BY THE PARTIES. Welcome to Law School Predictor. Law School Predictor and its associates (“we,” “our,” “us”) provide our/their services to you subject to the following conditions. If you visit or otherwise access this …

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Accuracy

“History is the fiction we invent to persuade ourselves that events are knowable and that life has order and direction.” – Calvin, from Calvin & Hobbes Law School Predictor is of far greater use to applicants when applicants can gauge the accuracy of LSP predictions.  These results are based off of more than 33,500 Law School Numbers-listed …

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FAQ

Q: What does the “DECISION” field mean? A: DECISION Key ADMIT: You’re an auto-admit and will likely be admitted, unless the school is practicing yield protection, or you clearly didn’t take the application seriously. This corresponds roughly to a greater than 75% chance of being admitted. STRONG CONSIDER: You have a good to great chance …

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